The End of the (Financial) World As We've Known It?

[Guest]

Housing is going nuts here too. I wonder how long it will last, because the job market really isn't following suit.

[lds2]

What do 1929, 2000 and 2007 all have in common? Those were all years in which we saw a dramatic spike in margin debt. In all three instances, investors became highly leveraged in order to "take advantage" of a soaring stock market...It is happening again. In April (the last month we have a number for, margin debt rose to an all-time high of more than 384 billion dollars. The previous high was 381 billion dollars which occurred back in July 2007...The stock market just continues to rise even though the underlying economic fundamentals continue to get worse. So...if history is any indication we are in big trouble [i would say in a big bubble myself.] In the past, whenever margin debt has gone over 2.25% of GDP the stock market has crashed. That certainly does not mean that the market is going to crash this week, but it is a major red flag. Margin debt has now risen to about 2.4 percent of GDP, and as the New York Times recently pointed out, whenever we have gotten this high before a market crash has always followed...Every time margin debt has soared to a dramatic new high in the past, a stock market crash and a recession have always followed. Will we escape a similar fate this time?

When Margin Debt Goes Over 2.25% Of GDP, The Stock Market Always Crashes - Seeking Alpha

[WyomingEMT]

A High School class, many of us took World history. I remember slides that showed the German people after WW1 trying to cash in there German Marks. A person with a wheel barrel full of German Marks went into a bakery to buy a loaf of bread and when he came out there was German Marks piled on the sidewalk and his wheel barrel had been taken. HISTORY WILL REPEAT IT"S SELF! it always does.

[Guest eidnkers]

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