anatess2 Posted May 15, 2019 Report Share Posted May 15, 2019 30 minutes ago, 2ndRateMind said: Hmmm. Is everyone you disagree with 'ideologically possessed'? As for Dr Micheals, I do not think he is a quack, (the word I used was 'maverick') I just point out that the overwhelming majority of climate scientists would disagree with him. He, and you, seem to be sceptical enough of the consensus on climate change to serve for all of us. Nevertheless, I think it worth exploring the potential impact if a) he is wrong, and the rest of the academics right, and b) he is right, and the rest of the academics are wrong, assuming we make minimum appropriate changes to our current lifestyles. In case a) we have disaster, maybe multiple disasters, and the irretrievable degradation and decline in the fertility of the planet. In case b) we don't have such disasters, and our precious habitats remain intact. Borrowing a concept from Game Theory, we have, then, a payoff matrix something like the following: Make no change to our lifestyles. and climate change happens: payoff = -100 Make no change to our lifestyles, and climate change doesn't happen: payoff = 0 Make changes to our lifestyles, and lesser climate change happens: payoff = -50 Make changes to to our lifestyles and climate change doesn't happen: payoff = -10 Either way, all we risk by way of a 'stake', is whatever climate change amelioration and mitigation measures we might feel appropriate to put in place. The 'minimax'* solution is to assume climate change will happen and make appropriate adjustments to our lifestyles to reduce its impact. So the questions become, how much are we prepared to risk, and how moral is it to make that wager? Best wishes, 2RM. *minimise the maximum losses and gains. "The overwhelming majority of Climate Scientists"... is that the same statistic as "97% of scientists agree..."? This is why I believe the uproar over Climate Change are ideologically possessed. "97% of scientists agree..." is parroted by all of them. That statistic is the HEIGHT OF UNSCIENTIFIC METHODOLOGY. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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